Infogol Premier League Tips: GW8 Hasashen, xG Analysis & Stats

Yin amfani da bayanan da aka sa ran (xG), Jake Osgathorpe na Infogol ya zaɓi mafi kyawun fare kan ayyukan Premier a karshen mako.

Infogol samfurin ƙwallon ƙafa ne na juyin juya hali, yana yin amfani da bayanan Opta don fitar da samfurin burin da ake sa ran. Makasudin da ake sa ran suna ƙididdige ingancin damar ci ta hanyar ba kowace dama damar samun ƙarshen gidan yanar gizo.

Ana iya amfani da ma'aunin xG don kimanta ƙungiyoyi da ayyukansu, kuma yana taimakawa wajen ba da haske game da abubuwan da za su faru nan gaba, wanda hakan yana taimakawa tare da yin fare.

West Brom vs Tottenham

West Brom har yanzu tana neman nasarar farko a gasar Premier ta bana bayan rashin nasara a hannun Fulham, wani wasan da ba ta yi kadan ba.

Sun nuna alamun ci gaba a kan tsaro, suna barin 1,2 xGA a kowane wasa a cikin wasanni hudu na karshe, amma wannan tsarin tsaro-farko yana da tasiri mai tasiri akan lambobin harin su.

A cikin wasanni bakwai na wannan kakar, Baggies sun sami matsakaicin 0,5 xGF kawai a kowane wasa. Abu ne mai ban tausayi mara kyau wanda ke kan hanyar karya tarihin kungiyar Premier League mafi muni tun lokacin da Infogol ya fara tattara bayanai (2014), wanda Aston Villa ke rike da shi a halin yanzu 15/16 (XNUMX/XNUMX).0,8 xGF kowane wasa)

Duk wannan yana nufin kada su haifar da matsala sosai a nan, amma za su iya rage maki.

Tottenham ta cancanci doke Brighton a karshen makon da ya gabata, inda Gareth Bale wanda ya ci nasara ya ba da bambanci a wasan da wasu rigima na VAR suka yi masa.xG: TOT 2.0 - 0.4 BHA)

Ya zuwa yanzu wannan kakar, Liverpool ne kawai (2,5 xGF kowane wasayana da tsarin kai hari mafi kyau fiye da Tottenham (2,2 xGF kowane wasa), yayin da kungiyar José Mourinho ke nuna matukar ci gaba.

Tsaro, sun kasance masu ƙarfi sosai ga mafi yawancin (1,3 xGA kowane wasa), sake ƙarfafa ra'ayin cewa West Brom za ta yi wahala wajen tasiri wannan wasan.

Ya kamata Spurs ta yi nasara a wannan wasan amma saitin West Brom da tsarin tsaro ya kamata su kiyaye shi da mutuntawa don haka ina son nasara a waje da kuma kasa da kwallaye 3,5 akan farashi mai kyau.

Zaɓin – Tottenham ta ci nasara kuma ƙasa da kwallaye 3,5 @ 11/8

Leicester vs Wolves

Leicester ta yi fice a baya, tare da nasarar da suka samu na baya-bayan nan da ci 4-1 a ragar Leeds (xG: LEE 1.9 - 3.0 LEI), amma nasarar da suka samu a Arsenal tabbas ya fi abin da za mu iya tsammani daga gare su a nan (xG: ARS 1.0 - 0.9 LEI)

Foxes sun tashi zuwa matsayi na biyu a teburin gasar Premier godiya ga nasarar biyun, amma lambobin su na ci gaba da haɓaka ta hanyar bugun fanareti, wanda shine 0,8xG a gasar Premier.

Kungiyar Brendan Rodgers ta ci gajiyar bugun fanareti shida a wasanni bakwai (4,8 xl), ma'ana sun sami matsakaicin 1,1 xGF babu bugun fanareti a kowane wasa a gasar Premier, nesa ba kusa ba.

Wolves ba ta yi rashin nasara ba a wasanni hudu na gasar, kuma nasarar da suka cancanta a kan Crystal Palace da ci 2-0 a karshen makon da ya gabata, ita ce ta hudu a jere a kakar wasa ta bana, abin da muka saba da kungiyar Nuno.

Tun lokacin da suka yi rashin hankali a kan West Ham, Wolves sun kasance masu kyau a baya, suna barin matsakaicin 0,9 xGA kawai a kowane wasa, don haka suna komawa matakan da suka nuna a kakar wasan da ta gabata.

Duk da haka, sun kasance suna fama da hare-hare, suna da nauyin 1,1 xGF a kowane wasa lokacin ƙoƙarin neman layin kai hari ba tare da Diogo Jota ba, kuma yayin da ingancin ya kasance a gare su don ingantawa, har yanzu ana iya dakatar da su a nan.

Na ga cewa wadannan kungiyoyi biyu sun yi daidai da juna kuma haduwarsu biyu a kakar wasan da ta gabata sun nuna cewa haka lamarin yake, duka biyun sun kare babu ci saboda babu wata kungiya da ta iya samar da damammaki.

Wannan ya kamata ya zama kama kamar yadda waɗannan bangarorin biyu masu karfi suka yi karo, kuma yayin da kasa da burin 2,5 shine tafiya mai dacewa a cikin ɗan gajeren farashi, Ina farin cikin hadarin kasa da 1,5 a farashi mafi girma.

Zaɓin - Ƙarƙashin 1,5 burin a 2/1

Manchester City vs Liverpool

Wasan da ya fi kowanne girma a kakar wasa ta bana yayin da kungiyoyi biyu da ke saman teburin gasar Premier za su fafata.

Samfurin mu ya lissafta cewa komai sakamakon wannan wasan, akwai ~90% damar lashe kambun zai kasance ko dai Manchester City ko Liverpool, ma'ana akwai abubuwa da yawa a cikin wannan karo na farko.

Idan Liverpool ta yi nasara, damar da za ta ci gaba da rike kambun ita ce ~60%, kuma idan City ta yi nasara, damar da za ta iya sake samun kambun shine ~57%. Zane ya bar ku a gefen wuka kuma ku biyun kuna da kusan kashi 45% na damar lashe gasar Premier.

Manchester City ta kasance mai ƙarfi da ƙarfi a cikin 'yan makonnin nan, tana ba da damar 0,5 xGA mai ban sha'awa a kowane wasa a cikin wasanni shida na ƙarshe a duk gasa.

Babban ci gaba ne a kakar wasan da ta gabata da kuma kashi na farko na wannan kamfen, amma ya zo da tsada kamar yadda, a daidai wannan lokacin, City ta sami matsakaicin 1,6 xGF kawai a kowane wasa.

A hangen nesa, ƙungiyar Pep ta sami matsakaicin 2,7 xGF a kowane wasa a cikin 19/20, 2,4 a cikin 18/19, da 2,3 a cikin 17/18. Don haka ba sa kai harin nasu mai ban tsoro a yanzu, kodayake dawowar Jibra'ilu Yesu zai iya taimakawa da hakan.

Liverpool ta kasance mai ban sha'awa a tsakiyar mako a cikin abin da za a iya cewa shine mafi kyawun wasan su na kakar wasa zuwa yau, bayan da ta doke Atalanta 5-0 a Bergamo (xG: ATA 1,2 - 2,5 LIV)

Nasarar da suka cancanci a kan West Ham ta mayar da su a saman teburin Premier, kuma sun zauna a teburin xG ɗin mu, don haka yayin da sakamakon zai iya zama kamar ba shi da kyau, sun cancanci hakan. .

Kare, sun kasance suna girgiza a wasu lokuta (1,3 xGA kowane wasa) kuma ba su da ma'aikatan tsaro masu mahimmanci, wanda shine matsala, amma suna ci gaba da sarrafa wasanni na musamman da kyau a kan kwallon.

Laifin su kuma yana kama da mafi kyawun su, matsakaicin 2,5 xGF a kowane wasa na ƙasa, tare da Salah da Mane akai-akai a kan reshe, kodayake Roberto Firmino (0,29 xG / matsakaicin wasa) yanzu yana da babbar gasa daga Diogo Jota (0,5 xG / matsakaicin wasa), wanda ya ci hat-trick a tsakiyar mako.

Kamar wasan Leicester da Wolves, wannan wasa ne na kusa tsakanin kungiyoyi biyu na kusa. Ana iya jayayya cewa Liverpool ta fara da kyau a kakar wasa gabaɗaya, kuma tana neman zama mafi cikar ƙungiyar a wannan matakin, kodayake inganta tsaron City yana ƙara wahala rayuwa.

Wa] annan wasanni na iya zama mai tauri da takure, ba tare da wata qungiya da ke son barin ko da inci guda ba, kuma ina ganin hakan ya amfanar da Liverpool, wadda za ta yi farin ciki da yin kunnen doki da kuma farin cikin yin wasa a baya.

Samfurin yana lissafin 55% (1,82) Yiwuwar Reds su guje wa shan kashi a Etihad, don haka ɗaukar Liverpool ko yin kunnen doki zuwa 1,9 shine wasan guts a cikin babban wasan.

Zabi – Liverpool ko zana @ 9/10