Whoever wins this match will progress to the knockout stage of the UEFA Europa League (UEL), with Ludogorets having averaged 3,6 total goals per game in the UEL group stage so far, and only one of their five scoreless games into halftime (HT: W1, D1, L3), expect a spirited game here. Only one defeat in their last 14 competitive home matches will be a morale boost for the hosts (G9, D4, L1), who have lost two of their last three H2Hs, although they have won the last 3-0. As with the H2H win, 15 of Ludogorets' last 16 home wins have been achieved with a -1 handicap. Ferencváros are unbeaten in UEL's two away group stage games this campaign (W1, D1), with both games producing two or fewer goals on aggregate. Impressively, the Hungarian champions have lost just one of their last 11 competitive away trips (G8, D2, L1), scoring at least two goals in seven of those games. The visitors' record in European away group stage matches is decent (W3, D1, L3) and actually better than their home record (D5, L3). Don't expect too many goals though: nine of Ferencváros' last ten away games at UEL have produced under 2,5 goals (qualifying included).
players to watch: Claudiu Keşerü scored for Ludogorets in UEL's last game – his four group stage goals came after the break. Ferencváros has yet to lose when Tokmac Nguyen Moved up to the squad this season (G7, D1): he scored in two of three H2Hs.
stat attack: The first goal has been scored in the 15th minute in three of Ludogorets' last four home games. Both teams have scored in the second half in three of Ferencváros' last five away games. The first goal was scored in the 20th minute in the previous three H2Hs.
