Poland is the leader of the Group 1 clash of League A in the UEFA Nations League. The Polish team has seven points out of a possible 12 and reaches the fifth round behind Poland by a single point. A defeat by Poland at the MAPEI Stadium on Sunday would eliminate Italy from qualifying for the playoffs.
A defeat by Italy won't stop Poland from progressing to the UEFA Nations League playoffs, but will it make things difficult for coach Jerzy Brz's side? Czek's advance. Italy will face Bosnia on the last day of the group. Poland must face the Netherlands on matchday six. The Dutch are still in contention to advance to the playoffs as well. The Netherlands have five points out of 12 and just two from Poland. There's a lot to play in the group.
Poland and Italy drew on matchday three in Gdansk. Both teams were unable to find a way out of either team's defense. Both teams are coming off midweek wins in international friendlies. Italy defeated Estonia 4-0, while Poland had a slightly tougher 2-0 victory over Ukraine.
Sunday night is life and death time for both teams. Poland can move one step closer to the UEFA Nations League playoffs with a win. Italy need to win or draw to keep their hopes of progress alive.
Italy vs Poland betting odds
When these teams met in October, Italy dominated Poland in Gdansk. The Azzurri had 61% possession during the game and made 16 shots. Only two of those shots hit the target as Italy's boots stayed at home. Poland maintained 39% of possession in the game and scored just three shots. Two of them landed on the target. In terms of percentages, they performed better in the last third.
Poland was defeated by the Netherlands 1-0 in the first match against the Netherlands. They then beat Poland 2-1. Their matchday 3 draw with Italy resulted in a fantastic 0-1 victory over Bosnia. Poland are now on the verge of winning Group XNUMX, but have two very difficult games to play. Poland's defense conceded just two goals in four games.
Italy drew 1-1 with Bosnia on matchday one, before beating the Netherlands 1-0 in the next game. They followed up the victory with back-to-back draws against Poland and the Dutch. Due to Italy's inability to score goals in Group 1, the team is on the verge of being knocked out of the qualifying round for the playoffs.
Italy and Poland have met 17 times in all competitions in previous years. Azzurri has released a 6W-8D-3L.
Italy v Poland selection news
Roberto Mancini must change the team that played against Estonia on Wednesday night. The Azzurri won 4-0 without any problems, playing against the lowly Estonians. Vincenzo Grifo scored two goals, while Federico Bernardeschi and Riccardo Orsolini scored. People like Kevin Lasagna and Salvatore Sirgu started the game.
Head coach likely to be starter Leonardo Bonucci, Jorginho and Ciro Immobile likely to return against Poland. Mancini is left without the injured Francesco Caputo, Domenico Criscito and Angelo Ogbonna. The Azzurri have enough talent to win on Sunday and make the playoffs. However, Mancini needs his team to score goals again, as he did in Euro 2024 qualifying.
Poland defeated Ukraine 2-0 on Wednesday night thanks to goals from Krzysztof Piatek and Jakub Moder on either side at half-time. The Poles scored five goals and conceded twice in Group 1. Italy also conceded twice, but their problem was just three goals.
Robert Lewandowski will lead the Polish line on Sunday. He scored two goals against Bosnia in the fourth round. The goals were his first two UEFA Nations League goals.
Italy vs Poland prediction
Halftime Result: Tie – BET NOW
The first match between Italy and Poland in Group 1 ended in zero. These teams are strong on defense and the reverse game should follow a similar defensive format. Italy dominated the previous game, but managed to take care of the Polish defense. They only managed two shots on goal despite having 16 shots in total. Both teams won midweek and go into the game in good shape.
Robert Lewandowski to score anytime – BET NOW
Robert Lewandowski scored 11 goals in six Bundesliga games before the international break in November. The striker is in great shape and could make the difference in Poland's playoff qualification with a win and a loss to Italy. Lewandowski scored two goals against Bosnia in October. He has two UEFA Nations League goals. The Azzurri's defense will be stronger than Bosnia's last month, but Lewandowski is the best striker in the Bundesliga.
Under 2,5 goals scored – BET NOW
Two of Poland's four Group 1 games ended with under 2,5 goals. They only allowed two goals in their matches. The Poles are a defensive team that have conceded just two goals in four games. Italy is also playing strong defense. They also allowed two goals and only scored three goals.
Italy's four matches ended with under 2,5 goals scored. They had trouble breaking their boots in the UEFA Nations League. Can you convert opportunities this time? They didn't when they played in October.
Poland is in the driver's seat entering the game. The problem is that Italy has the strongest team overall. The Azzurri have underperformed in goal in the UEFA Nations League. However, Mancini should do well on Sunday. It's do or die time for both sides. Italy need to win to keep their playoff hopes alive. They must claim the victory needed to keep their hopes alive and take Group 1 to the UEFA Nations League final.
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