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italy vs netherlands
UEFA Nations League
Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2024
Start at 19pm in the UK
Venue: Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo.
UEFA Nations League Division A Group 1 has become very difficult after last weekend's games. Bosnia surprisingly took a point to the Netherlands, while Poland held Italy to a goalless draw.
The upcoming derby between Azzurri and Oranje in Bergamo could be the key. The hosts would occupy the first position with three points and would probably knock Holland out of the race.
The Italians are the favorites at 1,90, although so far they have only managed one victory in this group.
Italy vs Netherlands Head-to-Head
In the past, there have been 22 face-to-face encounters between these two nations. The stats are very favorable for Italy, who have an 11-3 lead in terms of winning.
Interestingly, Italy's goal difference so far is only +8, indicating close wins.
In the first leg of the UEFA Nations League, Italy defeated the Netherlands 1-0 away from home thanks to a Nicolo Barella goal.
Five of the last seven h2h matches ended with two or three goals in total.
Italy vs Netherlands prediction
It would be fair to say that the Netherlands deserved all three points against Bosnia last Saturday. They completely outmaneuvered the opposition, but Quincy Promes and Donyell Malen weren't focused enough to capitalize on that.
It is a little worrying for their fans that the team has not won a single victory in the last three games. They also lost a friendly to Mexico on 7 October.
Italy would probably love to forget about the game in Gdansk as soon as possible. There was no action in Gdansk and both sides played very carefully.
Many were surprised that Roberto Mancini did not give Ciro Immobile a chance, not even as a substitute, as Chiesa, Belotti and Pellegrini did not do much.
The game with Holland is of great importance and we don't see anyone super aggressive, at least in the first phases. The under 2,5 bet should go down easily, while the value is in supporting the draw.
Italy v Netherlands betting tips
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Under 2,5 goals FT @ 1,80
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Draw @ 3,50.
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