Premier League Matchday XNUMX kicks off on Friday night with a massive six-point tie between Brighton and Burnley. Both clubs are out of shape and in desperate need of wins this weekend before the international break.
Sean Dyche's Burnley are bottom of the Premier League with just one point from a possible 18. Even with a game in hand, Burnley are so bad that they are unlikely to turn their extra game into three points. Burnley have scored the fewest Premier League goals with three.
Brighton is above water, but not by much. Graham Potter's team scored five points from a possible 21 and are two points ahead of West Brom, who are in 18th place. The bottom of the Premier League table is terrible. After seven league games, just seven points separate Burnley, bottom, from West Ham, 14th.
The Gaviotas took four points from a possible six last season against Burnley. Despite coming into the game with two points from their last nine offers, they have a recent history in the Premier League. In six Premier League meetings between these clubs from 2017-18, three of the games ended in draws. Is Friday night's game at Amex Stadium destined for another draw?
Brighton vs Burnley betting odds
How bad have Burnley been in 2024-21? The Clarets scored one point out of a possible 18. They have an expected points estimate of 6,65, which shows just how off pace they are. Meanwhile, Burnley's solid defense gave up 12 times. His total expected goals allowed is 6,41. Both the expected points and expected goals allowed compared to the actual numbers show just how bad the team has been up to this point.
According to leading sportsbooks, Dyche is the fourth favorite to be the next manager sacked in the Premier League. The best bookmakers offer odds of 10/1. Burnley's only point this season came from Turf Moor. That tie was against West Brom at Hawthorns in a zero-nil draw. All three goals scored by Burnley came from home.
Brighton's form at home has been just as abysmal as Burnley's away game. Las Gaviotas took just one point out of nine at Amex Stadium. That tie came against West Brom in a 1-1 final. Las Gaviotas has a -3 goal difference, with seven goals allowed and four scored.
Last season's game at the Amex Stadium ended 1-1 between Brighton and Burnley. Brighton's Neal Maupay opened the scoring in the 51st minute, but conceded a goal in the 90th minute courtesy of Jeff Hendricks.
Brighton v Burnley team news
Potter has six injured players at Amex Stadium. Ali Jahanbaksh and Florin Andone are ruled out of the game due to injury. Lewis Dunk is also out of the game due to a red card suspension. He won't be back before the international break in November.
Brighton players José Izquierdo, Christian Walton and Solomon March are the three doubts for the game due to the various injuries. Winger Tariq Lamptey is recovering from a thigh problem. He is likely to be part of the squad for the visit to Burnley.
Doubts surround Brighton striker Neal Maupay, their most important striker. According to The Athletic, Maupay did not play in Brighton's 2-1 loss to Tottenham Hotspur last weekend after an altercation with a teammate in the dressing room. The fight with a teammate came after Brighton's 1-1 draw with West Brom. Potter initially said that Maupay's downfall was due to tactics.
Dyche is without Jack Cork and Ben Mee. The pair are recovering from their respective injuries and will not be available until later this month. Dyche could have the trio of Phillip Bardsley, Erik Pieters and Johann Berg Gudmundsson in the team.
Brighton vs Burnley Prediction
Final Result: Tie – BET NOW
Three of the last six Premier League matches between Brighton and Burnley have ended in full-time draws. Two of those three ties took place at Amex Stadium. Last season's game ended 1-1 in the 90th minute when Burnley equalized late on to secure a point. Brighton have drawn two of their seven league games this season.
Correct Score: 1-1 – BET NOW
Brighton's two Premier League ties this season have ended 1-1. It's a repeatable marker this weekend as Burnley hit the south coast. Last season's game at Amex Stadium ended 1-1. With both teams struggling to score goals, they are expected to be shut out for 90 minutes on Friday night. The pressure is great on both teams, especially with a six-point match. Neither side will want to lose to the other and will do enough to break even.
Under 2,5 goals scored – BET NOW
Four of the last six league games between Brighton and Burnley have ended with under 2,5 goals scored. Neither team is very good on offense, so expect them to struggle to score goals. Potter's decision about Maupay could play a big role in Friday night's game. The Frenchman is a complex person when it comes to English football. He can be combustible, but that's part of what makes him so great.
Maupay leads Brighton in goals with four. He has a figure of 3,17 shots per 90 minutes and 4,35 expected goals. If Brighton are to stay active this season, they need Maupay in the squad every week. With Burnley's defensive record so poor this season, 12 goals conceded, Maupay could take advantage of the Clarets.
Not only are Burnley struggling on the pitch, but problems keep cropping up in the boardroom. The club could be taken over by a new Egyptian owner, media reported on Wednesday. The current board's reluctance to invest in recent transfer windows has been shown on the pitch this season.
Brighton are the better team, but they are in terrible condition, as are Burnley. Those teams are expected to come together for a draw on Friday night in a boring game on the south coast.
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